The Truth About Climate Change

Many people today believe that humans can cause man made climate change. Here are some paragraphs offering strong statements about the predicted effects of climate change from

“Global climate is projected to continue to change over this century and beyond. The magnitude of climate change beyond the next few decades depends primarily on the amount of heat-trapping gases emitted globally, and how sensitive the Earth’s climate is to those emissions.”

“Because human-induced warming is superimposed on a naturally varying climate, the temperature rise has not been, and will not be, uniform or smooth across the country or over time.”

“Droughts in the Southwest and heat waves (periods of abnormally hot weather lasting days to weeks) everywhere are projected to become more intense, and cold waves less intense everywhere.”

“In a future in which heat-trapping gas emissions continue to grow, increases of a month or more in the lengths of the frost-free and growing seasons are projected across most of the U.S. by the end of the century, with slightly smaller increases in the northern Great Plains. The largest increases in the frost-free season (more than eight weeks) are projected for the western U.S., particularly in high elevation and coastal areas. The increases will be considerably smaller if heat-trapping gas emissions are reduced.”

“The intensity, frequency and duration of North Atlantic hurricanes, as well as the frequency of the strongest (Category 4 and 5) hurricanes, have all increased since the early 1980s. The relative contributions of human and natural causes to these increases are still uncertain. Hurricane-associated storm intensity and rainfall rates are projected to increase as the climate continues to warm.”

There are three main problems with these predictions for the earth’s climate:

  1. It is nearly impossible to predict the climate patterns of the earth solely by taking into account the effect of greenhouse gases released into the earth’s atmosphere
  2. Every major climate apocalypse prediction recorded in the last 50 years has failed
  3. There are scientific studies on the climate that contradict the current evidence of the effects of climate change on a global scale.

Will Happer is a physicist who taught at Columbia University and Princeton for five decades. He has co-authored several books, including one of the first books on how carbon dioxide emissions effect the climate. He also served as the Director of the Office of Energy Research at the U.S. Department of Energy. He invented a the sodium guide star, which is used in most modern telescopes to measure and correct for atmospheric turbulence, or the moving of air and water in the atmosphere. He is an expert on the earth’s atmosphere and climate, and he along with his colleagues who have worked with him on books and papers on the climate, are skeptical about the new predictions for the future of the earth’s climate. He realizes that many factors influence the climate in the atmosphere, including the sun, the earth’s orbital properties, oceans, clouds, and human industrialization, making it the most complex system on earth next to the human brain. The oceans in relation with the water in clouds in the atmosphere have a much more monumental impact on the earth’s climate than carbon dioxide, which only has minimal effects on the warming of the earth. Predicting the climate based on the movement of oceans is very hard, this can be seen with the predicted paths of hurricanes such as Hurricane Irma that hit Florida in 2018 and took a different path than meteorologists projected. If predicting the climate based on only the oceans is hard, then predicting the climate based on the oceans and the atmosphere in relation to each other is nearly impossible.

Every major climate apocalypse prediction in the last 50 years has failed to accurately predict the disastrous effects it promises. Here are five of the most extreme climate predictions in the last 50 years:

  1. 1970 Paul Ehrlich: “Between 1980 and 1989, some 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans would perish in the ‘Great Die Off'”
  2. 1974 June 24 Time Magazine: “Another Ice Age?” “Telltale signs are everywhere -from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest”
  3. 2006 Al Gore from Washington Post: “Humans may have only 10 years left to save the planet from turning into a total frying pan”
  4. 2008 Nasa Scientist: “We’re toast,” “Hansen, echoing words by other scientists, said that in five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer” “Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass., committee chairman, said, ‘Dr. Hansen was right. Twenty years later, we recognize him as a climate prophet.'”
  5. 2013 USA Today: “Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist” “Professor Peter Wadham, co-author of new Nature paper on costs of Arctic warming…”

Here are some facts that are in contrast to the predicted affects that scientists claim climate change has on the earth today.

The percentage of the earth experiencing drought has decreased since the 1980s. Although Arctic sea ice is decreasing, the amount of Antarctic ice is increasing. The claim that 97% of the community is in agreement with the predicted effects of climate change is false. That claim only comes from one study, in which 66.4% of the papers it surveyed took no position on man-made climate change. Only 36.2% endorsed it, and only to some degrees. Most of the entire scientific community is not in agreement with 100% of the predicted effects of climate change. Also, deaths from natural disasters have decreased by 97% in the last century, and that is due to infrastructure improvements made possible by the use of fossil fuels and the release of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

Although the climate change apocalypse prediction may not be accurate, there is no doubt that conservation is important in the world. We must limit deforestation around the world as much as possible, and promote forestry to continually replenish what wood is being used for different purposes in human lives.